Tuesday, April 19, 2011

SBB: Falcon Heavy Impact on NewSpace

My note(s):
I used write project plans and proposals at a previous job. I had a boss who would always scroll to the last page just to see the final numbers. I put a lot of work in the pages leading up to that final page.

If you're into business I recommend reading this entire post. If you're just interested in just the final numbers scroll to the bottom ;)

From the Space Business Blog:
Falcon Heavy Impact on NewSpace:
With the announcement from SpaceX yesterday about the Falcon Heavy, I went back over the recent missions I had been analyzing here at Space Business Blog to determine if any of them would benefit directly from the Falcon Heavy’s superior performance and reduced per pound launch cost.



The Answer: No. Well, mostly no.



Let me explain. Most of the innovative missions I had been considering were near term missions that could be performed on a single launch without the added capability of the Falcon Heavy.
  • CubeSat “Observers” of LEO/GEO assets – too small, mission may benefit from cheaper secondary payload prices
  • A NEO prospector mission – too small, mission may benefit from cheaper secondary payload prices
  • Nanosat Launchers – if anything, as launchers get larger, the need for a very small/responsive alternative grows, not decreases
  • LEO/GEO/L1 tug – a Falcon Heavy launch capability may actually harpoon this whole idea of a transfer tug (at least in the near term). Probably worth a new post on how the Falcon Heavy illuminates/reduces the value for such a capability
  • Refueling of Iridium’s constellation - too small, mission may benefit from cheaper secondary payload prices
[...skipping material, but you should read it...] 
Next Big Future offers this great cost comparison between the EELV launch costs of ULA and SpaceX:












Even if you DON'T have $80M+, the Falcon Heavy announcement changes how the whole world plans their space missions - even New Space.

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